Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Danny

On Rebounding and Outliers

Recommended Posts

670_forumrebounding_121128.jpg

(Photo Credit: Andrew Bernstein)

The HEAT’s shift towards unconventional basketball has been met with many questions over the first month of the NBA season. Outside of defense, which has been addressed here, the biggest question mark that continues to surround the HEAT is rebounding. Can a team that rarely plays two traditional big men keep opponents off the boards? Can a championship team be built without a “go-to” rebounder? One would think that last season’s playoff run quelled any of those worries, but that hasn’t been the case.

Conventional wisdom suggests that a team contending for a championship needs to have someone who does the dirty work and cleans the glass. So far this season, the Lakers, Clippers, Grizzlies, Knicks, Spurs and Nets all have players in the top-20 in total rebounding percentage. No Thunder players make the leaderboard, but Kevin Durant represents them on the defensive rebounding percentage leaderboard, coming in at 16th in the NBA. The HEAT are absent from both leaderboards. That doesn’t surprise HEAT coach Erik Spoelstra.

“We’re not built that way. We don’t have a guy that we say, ‘OK, you just get us 15 rebounds,’” Spoelstra said. “We emphasize our defense and finishing the backline of our rotations to the block outs, and the rebound will be made by whoever is closest.”

That philosophy has worked well for the HEAT since Chris Bosh and LeBron James arrived. In the 2011 season the HEAT had the third best total rebound percentage and fourth best defensive rebounding percentage in the NBA. Last season the HEAT finished sixth and tenth in the respective categories. The HEAT have been successful without a traditional rebounder because of its approach and lineup versatility.

“The way we rotate on defense, sometimes it forces our perimeter guys to have to block out bigs. Our perimeter players are very important to the success of our rebounding,” Spoelstra said. “If they get over 20 rebounds, we usually win the rebounding game. But it all works together. Each guy has to sacrifice for each other, putting bodies on them and then we have to have multiple pursuits, even for balls that aren’t necessarily in your region.”

Over the last 20 years there has been a devaluation of offensive rebounds around the NBA. The league-average offensive rebounding percentage in 1992 was 32.9 percent. That was down to 28.9 percent in 2002 and 27.0 percent in 2012. Coaches would rather their teams get back on defense than fight for an offensive rebound.

The HEAT have followed this trend and have not finished with an above-average offensive rebounding percentage since 1998. That’s not to say the HEAT completely disregard the offensive glass, it’s just not a priority.

“We have rules to try to get our defense back and set. But, we also want our guys being aggressive. If they have an opportunity in the paint to get us another possession, we encourage that,” Spoelstra said.

So how are the HEAT doing this season? The HEAT currently rank 19th in the NBA in defensive rebounding percentage and 18th in total rebounding percentage. On the surface, it looks like the HEAT are in big trouble. But as we dig a little deeper, things don’t look so bad.

Take a look at this chart. The red section represents a defensive rebounding percentage above 73.7 percent, which is where the 10th ranked Bulls sit. The yellow section represents anything below 72.1 percent, which is where the 21st ranked Jazz are. In this case, red means good and yellow means not so good. The size and color of the dots represent days off before the game. The larger and darker the dot, the more days off before the game. For example, the HEAT had three days off before the Milwaukee game and zero days off before the Houston game.

forumpics_rebounding_121128.jpg

(Click the the image to enlarge)

Holy outliers!

As you can see, the HEAT have nine games that would be in the top and middle thirds of the NBA pack and only four that would be in the bottom third of the league. Those two games swimming in the deep end of the yellow sea appear to have a lot in common.

The HEAT played the Denver Nuggets twice and twice the HEAT struggled to secure defensive rebounds. Denver is the best offensive rebounding team in league, but their success against the HEAT is still staggering.

What follows is cherry-picking at its finest, but bear with me. The two Denver games were both on the second night of back-to-backs, which has a significant negative effect on defensive rebounding, and they appear to be significant outliers. In fact, those two games are the two worst defensive rebounding performances with the current core. If we remove those Denver games for a second and focus on the other 11 games, what does the HEAT rebounding picture look like?

In the remaining 11 games, seven have been against above average offensive rebounding teams. Still, the HEAT have managed a defensive rebounding percentage of 75.4 percent. That mark would be the highest in the NBA. The HEAT’s total rebounding percentage would be 51.1 percent, the HEAT’s exact mark last season.

In the real world, the HEAT can’t just erase the Denver games. They happened. However, as those games become two of 50, 60 and eventually 82, their effect on the HEAT’s rebounding numbers will become less harsh.

The HEAT attack things differently than other teams, because they have to, but also because they can. Coach Spoelstra often talks about sacrifice when asked about rebounding; egos, he says, are left at the door.

“It’s a team. It’s a collective.”

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

“We’re not built that way. We don’t have a guy that we say, ‘OK, you just get us 15 rebounds,’” Spoelstra said. “We emphasize our defense and finishing the backline of our rotations to the block outs, and the rebound will be made by whoever is closest.”

Man, I am afraid that the Miami Heat are gonna be in trouble for a long long time after reading this. That last statement "rebound will be made by whoever is close", tells you all you need to know: Eric Spolstra doesn't care much about rebounding, it is a nuisance, he is telling his players to do their minimum best, and not worry so much if that "whoever is close" happens to be Norris Cole trying to rebound against Blake Griffin, or the Gasols, or Chandler, or Verajao. Really?

This explains why the Heat became over night a team that cannot stop perimeter players (who take em off the dribble), but also a team that cannot box out, and CONSISTENTLY rebound. If the message is coming from your Coach, why would players even care so much? Maybe this explains why Lebron has been so upset lately. I believe trouble is brewing on the defensive side for the Miami Heat. One one hand you have Eric Spolstra arrogantly stuck with his "positionless" basket ball which is causing the team to not recognize the game play teams are employing to break us down defensively and abuse us on the rebounding side. Then on the other hand you have a player like LEBRON who finds this to be unaceptable, refuses to throw the white towel (as in the Clippers game), and wants to compete on all side of the game offense and DEFENSE!

Here is my suggestion: NBA teams are attacking the Heat's "Rope defense" by making multiple drive and kicks which lead to either open 3s (Dwad-Cole-Ray-Chalmers can't stay in front of their men), OR one of our small player is left under the rim fighting to get a rebound against the other team's 2nd Big(usually PFs. That is the game plan we've seen in the knicks-Clippers-Grizzles games. So what can the Miami heat do:

Instead of reacting to teams and their plays, what if Spo FORCED them to actually funnel the opponents to our advantage. The Spurs were good at that, they would force teams to the side and make em attack back door thinking it was open, only to have the Admiral or Duncan waiting. The heat can do this, with Bosh-LBJ-Joel waiting. This also shrinks the courts and hides our weakness with small ball.

Just an idea....spo.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

You completely misunderstood the statement made.....whether you did so intentionally or not I don't know, but obviously that's not what he means. The Heat with this small ball lineup emphasize rebounding more than most teams because they have to. They ask guards to block out forwards and perimeter players to crash the glass instead of leaking out in transition. If this team had a Howard or an Asik we wouldn't have to see Cole in the paint struggling to clear out someone with 100 lbs on him.

Everyone in the NBA plays an overload style of defense these days because zoning is allowed and it works. Its not like the Heat or Celtics or Bulls do anything unique.....they're just better at it than other people. Well the Celtics aren't anymore but that has more to do with lousy personnel decisions than anything else.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

You completely misunderstood the statement made.....whether you did so intentionally or not I don't know, but obviously that's not what he means. The Heat with this small ball lineup emphasize rebounding more than most teams because they have to. They ask guards to block out forwards and perimeter players to crash the glass instead of leaking out in transition. If this team had a Howard or an Asik we wouldn't have to see Cole in the paint struggling to clear out someone with 100 lbs on him.

Everyone in the NBA plays an overload style of defense these days because zoning is allowed and it works. Its not like the Heat or Celtics or Bulls do anything unique.....they're just better at it than other people. Well the Celtics aren't anymore but that has more to do with lousy personnel decisions than anything else.

I will give that i might have added a few things more, however the idea that Cole is struggling for rebounds with someone 100 lbs on him is a choice Spo made at the start of the season. And in term of perimiter defense, we're not getting that done either. Giving up on defensive (let alone offensive) rebounds, while being known in the nba for a team that doesn't protect the 3 much, is not habits Heat should develop. There are options Spo can employ, just means he'll have to be flexible with this small ball.

But I hear what you are saying.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Agent, I think you're misinterpreting Spo's comment. He wants everyone being aggressive when rebounding. So yea, HEAT perimeter players probably grab more boards than perimeter players on other team, but it doesn't matter. All that matters is getting the rebounds. And outside of the two Denver games, the HEAT have been really, really good at that.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I will give that i might have added a few things more, however the idea that Cole is struggling for rebounds with someone 100 lbs on him is a choice Spo made at the start of the season. And in term of perimiter defense, we're not getting that done either. Giving up on defensive (let alone offensive) rebounds, while being known in the nba for a team that doesn't protect the 3 much, is not habits Heat should develop. There are options Spo can employ, just means he'll have to be flexible with this small ball.

But I hear what you are saying.

Giving up on offensive rebounds is a choice, one that most good defensive teams made a long time ago. Defensive rebounding is not a choice, and yes, Spoelstra made a conscious effort to get his perimeter players to box out and go after the ball to make up for deficiencies elsewhere. That decision was made long before positionless or small basketball became synonymous with the Heat. It was made when the Heat were playing big with guys that were worse rebounders than the small players that are starting today.

Perimeter defense is a whole 'nother issue which doesn't have much to do with the defensive or rebounding philosophies.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

“We’re not built that way. We don’t have a guy that we say, ‘OK, you just get us 15 rebounds,’” Spoelstra said. “We emphasize our defense and finishing the backline of our rotations to the block outs, and the rebound will be made by whoever is closest.”

Isn't the idea of boxing out included here? Sorry, is "block out" similar to "box out?" If it is, doesn't that show that Spo is also really concerned about rebounds because if they box out well, it will not be that difficult for them to grab rebounds.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

That's one way to interpret the chart, here is my interpretation: the white section represents somewhat the league average. Around the white spot is where the Heat have gotten their losses and almost-loses (close games) with the exception of BKN, I believe. Shouldn't that say that when they don't rebound better than league average, it is hard for them if not impossible to win games (they've gotten blown out three times, and the rest have been against inferior teams)? And shouldn't that mean that they should probably emphasize rebounds in order for them to have a better chance of winning, instead of blowing it off and say "we are not built that way?"

I understand that they wanna go the Boston Celtics route and rank dead last in offensive rebounds, but if you are gonna be dead last in offensive rebounds, you can't also expect not to play a lick of defense. Also, the point of not getting offensive rebounds, as was pointed out, was to get back on defense. Something the Heat are also not doing (see washington game). So what's the point?? The real reason that they're not getting offensive rebounds is not because they are getting back, is because our big man is 20 ft from the basket when the shot goes up.

Again, for the umpteenth time in the past 2+ years, the Heat are struggling to find their identity.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

That's one way to interpret the chart, here is my interpretation: the white section represents somewhat the league average. Around the white spot is where the Heat have gotten their losses and almost-loses (close games) with the exception of BKN, I believe. Shouldn't that say that when they don't rebound better than league average, it is hard for them if not impossible to win games (they've gotten blown out three times, and the rest have been against inferior teams)? And shouldn't that mean that they should probably emphasize rebounds in order for them to have a better chance of winning, instead of blowing it off and say "we are not built that way?"

I understand that they wanna go the Boston Celtics route and rank dead last in offensive rebounds, but if you are gonna be dead last in offensive rebounds, you can't also expect not to play a lick of defense. Also, the point of not getting offensive rebounds, as was pointed out, was to get back on defense. Something the Heat are also not doing (see washington game). So what's the point?? The real reason that they're not getting offensive rebounds is not because they are getting back, is because our big man is 20 ft from the basket when the shot goes up.

Again, for the umpteenth time in the past 2+ years, the Heat are struggling to find their identity.

I like your point. I also notice that sometimes. We are playing small ball, and in that strategy our big men are supposed to be Lebron, Bosh, and UD. So since the strategy is to open up driving lanes for Lebron or D-Wade, Bosh tries to take his defender away from the paint, and that leaves almost none of them near the rim to grab the rebound especially when Lebron takes outside or perimeter jumpers. The same also happens when D-Wade does that.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

  • Similar Content

    • By Joe B.

      Photo Credit: Issac Baldizon
      At 12:45 PM, I will ask a trivia question in this thread for a pair of tickets to tonight’s game against the Hawks. Please keep in mind that you must be at least 18-years-old in order to qualify and must reside in Miami-Dade, Broward, Palm Beach or Monroe County. Also, you are ineligible if you've already won tickets this calendar month.
      Please only play/answer if you can attend and qualify based on these rules.
    • By Joe B.

      Photo Credit: Issac Baldizon
      The Miami HEAT host the Atlanta Hawks Monday night at AmericanAirlines Arena. Get your tickets now! The HEAT defeated the Hawks 108-90 in their last meeting on Feb. 24. Tip-off is set for 7:30 PM. Television coverage on FOX Sports Sun begins at 7:00 PM. You can also listen to the action live on 790 The Ticket.
      1: What did we learn from Miami’s home-opening victory over Indiana?
      Couper Moorhead: On the HEAT’s side, their 37-19 second quarter was as close as we’ve seen them approach the combination of team defense and offensive flow that they so consistently had during last season’s second half. They got good shots, they hit those shots and they were flying around getting stops. And the offense, with the exception of a bit of stagnation in the middle of the fourth quarter that allowed Indiana to briefly make it a one possession game, generally looked like what it’s expected to look like.
      There’s a bit more to talk about on the defensive end. With Whiteside out Miami didn’t have a big body to soak up drive after drive but with all the athleticism they can put on the floor they still defended the rim remarkably well. The issue, then, was less the percentages and more the volume being allowed in that highly efficient zone. Now, Erik Spoelstra said again that there’s work to be done on the defensive end, but there might be something happening on that end of the floor that doesn’t have much to do with Miami at all. So many teams around the league, Indiana included, appear to be prioritizing high-pace and early offense that we might be in the early days of a new league-wide trend – one that could require a strategic response beyond what teams are accustomed to doing. Or, this could all be the result of the shorter preseason. Either way, the HEAT will surely adjust – it just might be about more than simply tightening things up when defending in transition.
      Joe Beguiristain: We learned that the HEAT are still capable of being a strong offensive team even without Hassan Whiteside in the pick-and-roll game. On Saturday, five Miami players scored in double-figures, including Goran Dragić, Dion Waiters, James Johnson, Kelly Olynyk and Josh Richardson. The one guy I want to highlight out of that group is Olynyk.
      As a whole, the 7-footer has made a seamless transition into the offense thanks to his ability to move off the ball for open threes, execute screen handoffs and finish plays around the rim. Against Indiana, Olynyk was the catalyst in the 37-19 second quarter that Coup mentioned above, as he helped Miami capture a 13-point lead at halftime. Although the Pacers came into the contest with one of the worst defenses in the league, the fact is Miami executed and did what it was supposed to do offensively. 
      Things were a bit tougher on the defensive end without Whiteside, but the HEAT had a few good sequences they could build on. In particular, Jordan Mickey showed quick feet on a handful of pick-and-rolls, so hopefully he can do the same on Monday if he indeed gets the start once again.  
      2: How is Atlanta different this year and how do you think their new look will affect this matchup?
      Couper: While it’s been a gradual process that didn’t just happen this past summer, this Hawks team could be seen as marking not just the transition from the team that won 60 games a few years back but the beginning of an entirely new era. First, DeMarre Carroll left, then Al Horford and Jeff Teague in free agency, then Kyle Korver in the middle of last season and finally Paul Millsap during the most recent free agency. Dwight Howard, too, was traded to Charlotte and Tim Hardaway Jr. signed with New York. This is a team that appears to be fully committed to developing their youth.
      As we mentioned regarding the league trend, Atlanta also seems to be committed to speed and spacing. All of their bigs are shooting threes, including Dewayne Dedmon, all of their bigger forwards and wings are capable of doing the same while handling the ball and they’re getting up the floor whenever possible. Which means, just like Indiana and Orlando, this will be another test of Miami’s transition defense.
      Joe: For starters, Atlanta traded Dwight Howard to Charlotte for Miles Plumlee, Marco Belinelli and the 41st overall pick in the 2017 Draft (which ended up being Tyler Dorsey). Then in free agency, perennial All-Star Paul Millsap signed with the Nuggets. As you can see, that leaves some tough shoes to fill in the frontcourt.
      In their stead, Head Coach Mike Budenholzer has rolled with Ersan İlyasova and Dewayne Dedmon, but veteran Mike Muscala and rookie John Collins have also gotten some burn off the bench. Collins looked quite impressive on Sunday against the Nets, as he notched his first career double-double with 14 points and 13 rebounds. With this being a back-to-back for the Hawks, perhaps we’ll see a little more of Collins and Muscala.
      Another thing to take note of is the availability of Dennis Schröder, who hurt is ankle against Brooklyn and had to exit the game. Atlanta is a little thin at point guard, but it looks like Malcolm Delaney will start if Schröder is out.
      3: If Miami is again without Hassan Whiteside, do you see them changing anything headed into tonight?
      Couper: The answer for Erik Spoelstra on Saturday night was to insert both James Johnson and Jordan Mickey into the starting lineup, moving Kelly Olynyk back into a backup role. Mickey only played 13 minutes, essentially shifts at the beginning of each half, but his floor spacing enabled Johnson to essentially be a playmaking center, both handling the ball at times and being a dynamic screener in pick-and-roll. It did leave Miami a little undersized, but without Myles Turner the Pacers weren’t exactly starting oversized lineups just as the Hawks aren’t expected to tonight. While Spoelstra will surely experiment as the weeks go on, as long as something is working he typically sticks with it.
      The question, then, would be what the starting lineup looks like when Whiteside does make his eventual return if Johnson ends up developing some chemistry with the Goran Dragić -Dion Waiters duo.
      Joe: I don’t. Mickey and James Johnson worked well in the starting lineup, and Erik Spoelstra stated after Saturday’s game that he thought Olynyk looked really comfortable with the second unit. All that leads me to believe that things will stay the same if Whiteside can’t play.
      Johnson did a nice job of making up for Whiteside’s absence against Indiana, as he led the team with five blocks. Whether he was coming over to help in the halfcourt or making plays in defensive transition, he was doing all he can. That’s why he is one of the team captains.  
      INJURY UPDATE: After Monday's shootaround, Coach Spo said Whiteside (knee) will not play and the lineup will remain the same from Saturday.

      Highlights:
      Feb. 24 – HEAT at Hawks
      Feb. 1 – Hawks at HEAT
      Game Notes:
      The HEAT and Hawks split the season series last year, with each team winning on the road and at home.  Miami is 1-1, while Atlanta enters the contest at 1-2. This is game two of the HEAT's longest homestand of the season.  
      Efficiencies (Rank):
      HEAT Offense: 103.9 (15) HEAT Defense: 106.7 (20) Hawks Offense: 98.2 (23) Hawks Defense: 105.9 (17)
    • By Joe B.

      Photo Credit: Issac Baldizon
      At 12:30 PM EDT, I will ask a trivia question in this thread for a pair of tickets to tomorrow night’s game against the Hawks. Please keep in mind that you must be at least 18-years-old in order to qualify and must reside in Miami-Dade, Broward, Palm Beach or Monroe County. Also, you are ineligible if you've already won tickets this calendar month.
      Please only play/answer if you can attend and qualify based on these rules.
    • By Joe B.

      Photo Credit: Issac Baldizon
      The Miami HEAT defeated the Indiana Pacers 112-108 Saturday night at AmericanAirlines Arena. Goran Dragić led the way for the HEAT with 23 points. Four other players scored in double-figures for Miami. Click here for the full recap on HEAT.com.
    • By Joe B.

      Photo Credit: Issac Baldizon
      The Miami HEAT host the Indiana Pacers Saturday night at AmericanAirlines Arena. Get your tickets now! The HEAT fell to the Pacers 102-98 in their last meeting on March 12. Tip-off is set for 8:00 PM. Television coverage on FOX Sports Sun begins at 7:00 PM. You can also listen to the action live on 790 The Ticket.
      1: What did we learn from Miami’s first game of the season?
      Couper Moorhead: That you can’t expect everything to be perfectly in place on Day One. We won’t be able to know for sure whether that has anything to do with the shorter preseason across the league, but all the talk coming from Erik Spoelstra and the rest of the team following that loss was defense, defense, defense. The HEAT will usually live with an opponent hitting tough contested jumpers, which Orlando did some of on their way to an offensive rating of 108.7, but it was allowing 56 points in the paint that everyone appeared to be particularly focused on two days later. Some of that was due to miscommunications in transition, some of that was from the pick-and-roll coverages not being as tight as they need to be, but it’s early season now and those are all things the team cleans up each and every year.
      We should also note that though Miami was down double digits for much of the second half there was also a significant run led by James Johnson (in foul trouble most of the night) that, while it ultimately fell short, captured exactly the type of controlled, desperate energy that became the team’s trademark in the second half of last season. You don’t want the team to need to be down double digits to tap into that energy, but more so than any scheme or coverage the HEAT’s ability to just flat-out play harder than just about any other team is always going to be one of this group’s best attributes.
      Joe Beguiristain: We learned that there are still some things to improve on. While it’s important not to overreact one way or another following just one game, (especially the first one) the HEAT’s defense could have been better. In fact, the Magic scored 116 points on 47.8 percent shooting, and as Erik Spoelstra said after practice on Friday, “116 points is not the type of [amount] that we want to give up…we just weren’t able to defend and stop the bleeding.”
      All that said, Miami still mounted an impressive comeback bid in the fourth quarter behind the strong play of Hassan Whiteside (who is out for Saturday’s game) and James Johnson. The duo combined for 18 points, 11 rebounds and six assists in the period, as they helped cut the deficit down to two with 2:39 remaining before the Magic closed things out.
      Long story short, the defense was very atypical for the HEAT, but the never-say-die attitude was what you’ve come to expect from this squad.

      2: How have the Pacers changed in the past year and how will those changes affect this matchup?
      Couper: You’ve no doubt heard about Indiana trading Paul George to the Oklahoma City Thunder in exchange for Victor Oladipo and Domantas Sabonis. No other move is going to even approach that one in terms of significance, but the team also swapped out Jeff Teague at point guard for the combination of Darren Collison (starting) and Cory Joseph. And though he didn’t play in the first game, Al Jefferson and his never-ending bag of post moves has also joined the frontcourt.
      It’s tough to tell based on one game, but after being one of the slowest teams during preseason the Pacers and Brooklyn Nets played a game of 116 possessions the other night (140-131) – which happened to be one of the fastest NBA games in the last decade. That’s more than likely the Brooklyn effect, given that Nate McMillan teams have generally played at a slower pace, but you don’t put up 140 points by accident and it’s possible the Pacers are bucking the trend and trying to become a more explosive offensive team. 
      Joe: As Coup chronicled above, the Pacers look a whole lot different than they did a year ago. Case in point: Indiana started four new players against Portland on Friday (Darren Collison, Victor Oladipo, Bojan Bogdanović and Domantas Sabonis). Of course, Myles Turner would normally get the start at center, but he’s currently dealing with a concussion and sore neck. Even if he did start, there are still plenty of new guys that need to figure out how to play with one another.
      All these changes make this matchup with the Pacers pretty unpredictable. Coup already talked about how Indiana was slow throughout the preseason and then super fast against Brooklyn on Wednesday. Similarly, the Pacers were ranked in the top ten in defensive efficiency in the preseason, but tallied a 111.9 defensive rating versus the Nets. With a bunch of new pieces and the regular season in its infancy, it’s just too early to tell how Indiana will fare.
      3: With both Hassan Whiteside (knee) and Myles Turner (neck) out, how do you expect each team to adjust?
      Couper: The Pacers have said that Sabonis, a skilled big man with some stretch to his game, will start in place of Turner. As for Miami, you probably know by now that Spoelstra isn’t going to announce anything before he has to. It wouldn’t be surprising to see Bam Adebayo vault into the starting lineup given how Spoelstra typically replaces starters, often grabbing someone from deeper in the rotation so as to not destabilize the rest of his lineup card. But given how early it is, with few lineups actually set in stone, this might be an opportunity to experiment a little bit by starting Kelly Olynyk at center and possibly James Johnson or Justise Winslow (or even Okaro White) slotting in at power forward.
      Whoever ends up with more minutes in Whiteside’s absence, it won’t change how this team plays too much though you might see more handoff actions with Olynyk in place of the more traditional pick-and-rolls run with Whiteside.
      Joe: As I stated above, the Pacers rolled with Sabonis against the Trail Blazers on Friday.
      In terms of how the HEAT will adapt without Whiteside, I agree with Coup. I think that Coach Spo will slide Kelly Olynyk over to the center position and start either James Johnson or Justise Winslow at power forward. If you start Winslow, the Brothers Johnson can continue to come off the bench and do some damage. While you lose that dynamic if James Johnson starts, Winslow can also run the two-man game with Tyler Johnson. Luckily enough, the former Duke Blue Devil showed excellent court vision against the Magic on Wednesday.   
      As you can see, an argument can be made either way. We’ll just have to wait and see how it all pans out.

      Highlights:
      March 12 – HEAT at Pacers
      Feb. 25 – Pacers at HEAT
      Game Notes:
      The HEAT have won four of five against the Pacers. Indiana is 1-1 on the season after falling to Portland on Friday night. Rodney McGruder (left tibia surgery) and Hassan Whiteside (left knee contusion) are out for Miami.  Myles Turner (concussion & sore neck) is out for the Pacers.  
      Efficiencies (Rank):
      HEAT Offense: 97.8 (22) HEAT Defense: 108.7 (22) Pacers Offense: 110.0 (8) Pacers Defense: 112.6 (28)